Was having a text conversation with a long term Bog End regular last night and he said it was widely accepted that a loss at Chertsey would be the indication of relegation.  I must admit it would make it very close but from what I can see the do-or-die date is only two days later on BH Monday.  Even if Merstham pick up points in their two games, and we lose at Chertsey, on the 10th (their next game) SCR will be on 32 points with a -27 GD.

From that point theoretically four T&M wins, three SCR losses and three Bedfont losses could be enough to avoid the drop (if enough goals are scored to match the 32 points and outweigh the goal difference).  However it’s bloody tight and looking at it I’d say Monday 10th is a real candidate of the point of no return. 

Of course a lot of this could change if Merstham don’t pick up any points but with a six-pointer with Bedfont coming up soon there’s a chance they will do (and you never know T&M might get points at Chertsey!).  I know nobody can say for definite yet  but like I say it seems likely the 10th will be the day……

Last edited by BernieTheBolt (02/4/2023 5:08 pm)